Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -213 LMU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +28 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -3.5 (+24.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -2.8 (+25.2) | 146.9 (+3.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -5.4 (+22.6) | 145.3 (+4.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -2.7 (+25.3) | 145.4 (+4.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -2.4 (+25.6) | 146.5 (+3.5) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | BYU 73 – 63 LMU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | LMU 64 – 59 BYU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | BYU 85 – 60 LMU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | BYU 79 – 59 LMU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | BYU 83 – 82 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#87) | 6.0 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#113) | 1.26 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#92) | 1.40 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#129) | 0.567 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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