Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | LMU +143 BYU -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +10 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -3.6 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -2.3 (-7.7) | 147.3 (-11.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -3.3 (-6.7) | 144.4 (-8.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -2.1 (-7.9) | 147.3 (-11.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -2.0 (-8.0) | 148.9 (-12.9) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | BYU 89 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | LMU 64 – 59 BYU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | BYU 85 – 60 LMU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | BYU 79 – 59 LMU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | BYU 83 – 82 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#109) | 7.4 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#85) | 0.70 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#92) | 1.13 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#81) | 0.525 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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