Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +25 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -10.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -8.8 (+16.2) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -8.8 (+16.2) | 142.5 (+2.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -9.4 (+15.6) | 146.4 (-1.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -9.2 (+15.8) | 147.1 (-2.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | BYU 73 – 63 LMU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | BYU 89 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | LMU 64 – 59 BYU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | BYU 79 – 59 LMU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | BYU 83 – 82 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 3-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#62) | -1.6 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#47) | -0.12 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#42) | 0.08 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#38) | 0.499 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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