Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +20 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -13.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -12.8 (+7.2) | 146.7 (-8.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -12.9 (+7.1) | 143.0 (-5.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -12.8 (+7.2) | 148.8 (-10.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -12.3 (+7.7) | 149.0 (-11.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | BYU 73 – 63 LMU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | BYU 89 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | LMU 64 – 59 BYU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | BYU 85 – 60 LMU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | BYU 83 – 82 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 3-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#62) | -2.2 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#52) | -0.18 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#43) | -0.01 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#41) | 0.493 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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