Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | LMU +250 BYU -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +1 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -8.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -8.1 (+7.1) | 142.3 (+22.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -7.5 (+6.5) | 140.0 (+25.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -6.9 (+5.9) | 141.7 (+23.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -7.5 (+6.5) | 142.1 (+22.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | BYU 73 – 63 LMU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | BYU 89 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | LMU 64 – 59 BYU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | BYU 85 – 60 LMU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | BYU 79 – 59 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 3-12 | 9-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#216) | 9.1 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#158) | 1.79 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#154) | 2.48 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#154) | 0.604 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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