Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | L-MD +120 ARMY -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +23 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -1.3 (-21.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -2.5 (-20.5) | 137.2 (-4.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -2.5 (-20.5) | 135.7 (-2.7) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -2.2 (-20.8) | 138.8 (-5.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -2.8 (-20.2) | 139.7 (-6.7) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 77 L-MD |
| Jan 7, 2026 | L-MD 84 – 76 ARMY |
| Feb 13, 2025 | ARMY 64 – 60 L-MD |
| Jan 8, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 72 L-MD |
| Mar 2, 2024 | L-MD 69 – 68 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#342) | -5.5 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#323) | -1.42 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#325) | -1.89 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#335) | 0.401 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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