Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY -192 L-MD +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -7.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -5.7 (-13.7) | 147.7 (+12.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -5.1 (-13.1) | 148.9 (+11.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -5.6 (-13.6) | 145.2 (+14.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -5.8 (-13.8) | 146.8 (+13.2) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 77 L-MD |
| Feb 13, 2025 | ARMY 64 – 60 L-MD |
| Jan 8, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 72 L-MD |
| Mar 2, 2024 | L-MD 69 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2024 | L-MD 71 – 65 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-10 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#323) | -14.4 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#284) | -3.46 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#307) | -4.47 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#296) | 0.339 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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