Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Over |
| Money | L-MD +105 ARMY -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | L-MD -1.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -2.3 (+3.3) | 126.1 (+10.9) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -0.4 (+0.6) | 124.3 (+12.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -0.2 (+0.8) | 127.1 (+9.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -0.2 (+0.8) | 126.8 (+10.2) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 77 L-MD |
| Jan 7, 2026 | L-MD 84 – 76 ARMY |
| Feb 13, 2025 | ARMY 64 – 60 L-MD |
| Jan 8, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 72 L-MD |
| Jan 10, 2024 | L-MD 71 – 65 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 2-11 | 6-11 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 59.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#339) | -11.3 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#356) | -2.42 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.67 (#355) | -2.84 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#350) | 0.397 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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