Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
| Money | ARMY -180 L-MD +152 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -6.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -4.4 (-10.4) | 128.7 (+7.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -4.3 (-10.3) | 127.2 (+8.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -4.7 (-10.7) | 128.5 (+7.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -4.4 (-10.4) | 127.9 (+8.1) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 77 L-MD |
| Jan 7, 2026 | L-MD 84 – 76 ARMY |
| Feb 13, 2025 | ARMY 64 – 60 L-MD |
| Jan 8, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 72 L-MD |
| Mar 2, 2024 | L-MD 69 – 68 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-11 | 2-11 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.9 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#318) | -11.5 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#338) | -3.39 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#331) | -4.53 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#351) | 0.370 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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