Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | L-MD -120 ARMY +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +4 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | L-MD -1.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -0.7 (-4.7) | 147.2 (-23.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -1.3 (-5.3) | 145.3 (-21.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -0.5 (-4.5) | 145.4 (-21.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -0.1 (-4.1) | 147.3 (-23.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 77 L-MD |
| Jan 7, 2026 | L-MD 84 – 76 ARMY |
| Jan 8, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 72 L-MD |
| Mar 2, 2024 | L-MD 69 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2024 | L-MD 71 – 65 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#302) | -7.5 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#292) | -0.71 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#293) | -1.17 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#294) | 0.482 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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