Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY -165 L-MD +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -2.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -1.4 (+0.6) | 148.1 (-2.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -0.9 (+1.1) | 145.2 (+0.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -0.4 (+1.6) | 145.4 (+0.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -0.9 (+1.1) | 147.6 (-1.6) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 77 L-MD |
| Jan 7, 2026 | L-MD 84 – 76 ARMY |
| Feb 13, 2025 | ARMY 64 – 60 L-MD |
| Mar 2, 2024 | L-MD 69 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2024 | L-MD 71 – 65 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#293) | -5.9 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#284) | -0.67 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#293) | -0.88 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#296) | 0.459 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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