Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Over |
| Money | WKU +155 UNT -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -5.6 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.9 (+19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -5.8 (+1.8) | 126.9 (+9.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -7.0 (+3.0) | 126.5 (+9.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -6.3 (+2.3) | 126.0 (+10.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -5.9 (+1.9) | 126.8 (+9.2) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | UNT 67 – 33 WKU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | UNT 65 – 60 WKU |
| Mar 14, 2021 | UNT 61 – 57 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 31-7 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 16-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 56.3 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#200) | 8.4 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#175) | 1.78 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#203) | 2.39 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#192) | 0.594 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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