Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +5 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -1.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -0.1 (-4.9) | 132.6 (-7.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -0.7 (-4.3) | 131.4 (-6.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -0.1 (-4.9) | 132.5 (-7.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -0.0 (-5.0) | 133.6 (-8.6) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | UNT 67 – 33 WKU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | UNT 70 – 66 WKU |
| Mar 14, 2021 | UNT 61 – 57 WKU |
Game Analysis
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