Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -125 UNT +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +4 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -2.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -0.5 (-3.5) | 128.3 (-10.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -0.7 (-3.3) | 125.6 (-7.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -0.5 (-3.5) | 127.3 (-9.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -1.3 (-2.7) | 128.3 (-10.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | UNT 67 – 33 WKU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | UNT 70 – 66 WKU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | UNT 65 – 60 WKU |
Game Analysis
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