Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +34 | 100 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -11.4 (+22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -10.4 (+23.6) | 122.7 (-22.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -10.7 (+23.3) | 124.0 (-24.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -10.7 (+23.3) | 127.2 (-27.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -10.7 (+23.3) | 127.6 (-27.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2023 | UNT 70 – 66 WKU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | UNT 65 – 60 WKU |
| Mar 14, 2021 | UNT 61 – 57 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-7 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-3 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 56.3 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#73) | 0.2 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#35) | 0.20 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#48) | 0.02 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#27) | 0.494 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.