Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -120 USI +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +4 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | USI -0.9 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -1.2 (+5.2) | 145.9 (+18.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -1.8 (+5.8) | 144.0 (+20.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -0.5 (+4.5) | 145.8 (+18.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -1.0 (+5.0) | 147.0 (+17.0) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MORE 64 – 63 USI |
| Dec 20, 2025 | MORE 64 – 60 USI |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MORE 66 – 65 USI |
| Jan 1, 2025 | MORE 70 – 68 USI |
| Feb 21, 2024 | USI 80 – 73 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#310) | -3.1 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#227) | -0.33 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#262) | -0.57 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#212) | 0.478 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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