Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM +160 NICH -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +3 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | ETAM -1.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -1.1 (-4.1) | 148.4 (-19.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -0.7 (-3.7) | 145.7 (-16.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -0.8 (-3.8) | 148.2 (-19.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -0.8 (-3.8) | 149.2 (-20.2) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NICH 72 – 68 ETAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NICH 80 – 58 ETAM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NICH 81 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | NICH 83 – 61 ETAM |
| Mar 12, 2024 | NICH 72 – 51 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#279) | -3.5 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#270) | -0.53 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#281) | -0.76 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#279) | 0.482 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 60.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 41.3% |
Game Analysis
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