Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UCD +130 UCI -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +5 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -1.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -1.7 (-3.3) | 148.9 (+22.1) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -1.8 (-3.2) | 146.8 (+24.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -0.9 (-4.1) | 147.4 (+23.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -1.7 (-3.3) | 147.1 (+23.9) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UCI 79 – 69 UCD |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UCD 75 – 72 UCI |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCI 88 – 59 UCD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UCI 73 – 66 UCD |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UCD 54 – 52 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCD | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#158) | 6.6 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#185) | 0.60 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#166) | 0.96 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#153) | 0.525 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCD | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.