That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
Northeast Conference · Hammel Court · January 6, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread MRMK -3.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Under
Money MRMK -150 / SHU +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRMK win
Actual SHU +4 114 Lost
Massey MRMK -1.3 (-5.3) — —
Massey Totals — 128.3 (-14.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 49% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 62% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MRMK -0.3 (-4.3) 131.6 (-17.6) 44% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MRMK -0.5 (-4.5) 131.4 (-17.4) 49% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SHU -0.2 (-3.8) 129.6 (-15.6) 47% ✓
Baseline ML SHU -0.2 (-3.8) 131.0 (-17.0) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 6, 2026 MRMK 70 – 48 SHU
Feb 1, 2026 MRMK 75 – 58 SHU
Dec 29, 2025 MRMK 80 – 72 SHU
Mar 13, 2025 MRMK 66 – 62 SHU
Feb 22, 2025 SHU 60 – 59 MRMK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MRMK SHU
Overall 18-16 16-17
Conference 12-4 8-8
Home 10-6 9-6
Away 8-8 7-11
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak W11 L1
Avg Pts For 61.9 69.8
Avg Pts Against 64.0 71.6
Massey -11.5 (#344) -8.4 (#313)
Bradley-Terry -2.48 (#346) -1.67 (#318)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.80 (#341) -2.40 (#323)
RPI 0.405 (#323) 0.404 (#325)
Shooting & Four Factors MRMK SHU
FG% 36.0% 41.1%
3PT% 26.0% 30.1%
REB / G 24.2 35.8
OREB / G 5.5 10.1
AST / TO 0.61 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.4% 47.1%
TOV% 22.5% 18.8%
ORB% 16.3% 26.5%
FT Rate 24.0% 18.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 25.9% 18.5%
DRB% 59.7% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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