Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
Merrimack Warriors
66 62 OT
FINAL Neutral Conference MAAC
Sacred Heart Pioneers
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall (Neutral) · March 13, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MRMK -3.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money MRMK -195 / SHU +165
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRMK win
Actual MRMK +4 128 Won
Massey MRMK -3.8 (+0.2)
Massey Totals 138.8 (-10.8)
Bradley-Terry 68%
Weighted B-T 74%
Baseline Plus ML MRMK -2.7 (+1.3) 137.6 (-9.6) 68%
Model 4 ML MRMK -3.9 (+0.1) 138.3 (-10.3) 67%
Model 3 ML MRMK -3.2 (+0.8) 136.9 (-8.9) 67%
Baseline ML MRMK -3.7 (+0.3) 138.0 (-10.0) 66%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 6, 2026 MRMK 7048 SHU
Feb 1, 2026 MRMK 7558 SHU
Dec 29, 2025 MRMK 8072 SHU
Feb 22, 2025 SHU 6059 MRMK
Jan 10, 2025 MRMK 6665 SHU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MRMK SHU
Overall 18-15 15-18
Conference 14-6 10-10
Home 8-5 8-5
Away 9-8 5-11
Neutral 1-2 2-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.6 75.1
Avg Pts Against 64.2 75.7
Massey -1.8 (#192) -5.6 (#255)
Bradley-Terry -0.20 (#183) -0.94 (#254)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.20 (#181) -1.23 (#265)
RPI 0.527 (#119) 0.480 (#225)
Shooting & Four Factors MRMK SHU
FG% 42.6% 43.7%
3PT% 33.1% 35.0%
REB / G 28.1 36.4
OREB / G 7.2 11.5
AST / TO 1.30 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.6% 51.5%
TOV% 14.0% 17.5%
ORB% 21.3% 31.1%
FT Rate 17.9% 19.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.3% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 23.1% 17.5%
DRB% 61.0% 69.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 20.8%

Game Analysis

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