Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -195 SHU +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -3.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -2.6 (+1.4) | 136.5 (-8.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -2.2 (+1.8) | 137.5 (-9.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -2.3 (+1.7) | 137.5 (-9.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -2.9 (+1.1) | 137.6 (-9.6) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MRMK 70 – 48 SHU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | MRMK 75 – 58 SHU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | MRMK 80 – 72 SHU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SHU 60 – 59 MRMK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 65 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#192) | -5.6 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#183) | -0.94 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#181) | -1.23 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#119) | 0.480 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 28.1 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 61.0% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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