Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | SHU +125 MRMK -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -0.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -0.1 (-1.1) | 138.3 (-7.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -0.1 (-1.1) | 137.7 (-6.7) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.3 (-1.3) | 137.8 (-6.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -0.0 (-1.0) | 138.9 (-7.9) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MRMK 70 – 48 SHU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | MRMK 75 – 58 SHU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | MRMK 80 – 72 SHU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 62 SHU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SHU 60 – 59 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#259) | -2.1 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#252) | -0.22 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#245) | -0.25 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#279) | 0.503 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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