Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -125 MRMK +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -3.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -1.4 (-9.4) | 135.8 (+16.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -3.0 (-11.0) | 137.8 (+14.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -1.5 (-9.5) | 135.7 (+16.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -1.8 (-9.8) | 135.7 (+16.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MRMK 70 – 48 SHU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | MRMK 75 – 58 SHU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 62 SHU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SHU 60 – 59 MRMK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 65 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 17-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-0 |
| Away | 5-13 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#285) | -7.2 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#263) | -0.48 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#272) | -0.89 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#274) | 0.455 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 27.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 57.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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