Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -225 SHU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +1 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -7.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -5.6 (-6.6) | 138.7 (-19.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -5.6 (-6.6) | 137.9 (-18.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -6.0 (-7.0) | 136.2 (-17.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -5.4 (-6.4) | 136.8 (-17.8) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MRMK 70 – 48 SHU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | MRMK 75 – 58 SHU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | MRMK 80 – 72 SHU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 62 SHU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 65 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#206) | -6.7 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#192) | -1.16 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#198) | -1.39 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#128) | 0.458 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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