I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Merrimack Warriors
70 – 48
FINAL Neutral Conference MAAC
Sacred Heart Pioneers
Metro Conference · Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall (Neutral) · March 6, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MRMK -6.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money MRMK -310 / SHU +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRMK win
Actual MRMK +22 118 Won
Massey MRMK -6.0 (+16.0) — —
Massey Totals — 146.8 (-28.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 81% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MRMK -5.3 (+16.7) 138.7 (-20.7) 72% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MRMK -5.0 (+17.0) 143.3 (-25.3) 71% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MRMK -5.2 (+16.8) 138.1 (-20.1) 69% ✓
Baseline ML MRMK -5.6 (+16.4) 139.0 (-21.0) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 MRMK 75 – 58 SHU
Dec 29, 2025 MRMK 80 – 72 SHU
Mar 13, 2025 MRMK 66 – 62 SHU
Feb 22, 2025 SHU 60 – 59 MRMK
Jan 10, 2025 MRMK 66 – 65 SHU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MRMK SHU
Overall 23-11 14-19
Conference 17-3 9-11
Home 11-0 8-5
Away 9-8 5-13
Neutral 3-3 1-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.5 74.3
Avg Pts Against 66.5 77.6
Massey -1.9 (#193) -7.9 (#288)
Bradley-Terry 0.33 (#135) -1.10 (#266)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.25 (#143) -1.33 (#262)
RPI 0.547 (#83) 0.472 (#243)
Shooting & Four Factors MRMK SHU
FG% 42.1% 43.1%
3PT% 32.6% 36.0%
REB / G 28.6 34.6
OREB / G 8.0 10.0
AST / TO 1.27 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.6% 52.2%
TOV% 15.0% 17.4%
ORB% 24.7% 28.8%
FT Rate 31.5% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.0% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 19.9% 14.5%
DRB% 59.8% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 27.9% 19.3%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.