The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · Lawler Arena · February 1, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MRMK -5.5 Home covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money MRMK -250 / SHU +205
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRMK win
Actual MRMK +17 133 Won
Massey MRMK -6.7 (+10.3)
Massey Totals 146.0 (-13.0)
Bradley-Terry 86%
Weighted B-T 88%
Baseline Plus ML MRMK -4.5 (+12.5) 138.0 (-5.0) 73%
Model 4 ML MRMK -5.3 (+11.7) 144.9 (-11.9) 75%
Model 3 ML MRMK -4.5 (+12.5) 137.6 (-4.6) 71%
Baseline ML MRMK -5.0 (+12.0) 139.0 (-6.0) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 6, 2026 MRMK 7048 SHU
Dec 29, 2025 MRMK 8072 SHU
Mar 13, 2025 MRMK 6662 SHU
Feb 22, 2025 SHU 6059 MRMK
Jan 10, 2025 MRMK 6665 SHU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MRMK SHU
Overall 23-11 14-19
Conference 17-3 9-11
Home 11-0 8-5
Away 9-8 5-13
Neutral 3-3 1-1
Last 5 3-2 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.5 74.3
Avg Pts Against 66.5 77.6
Massey -4.0 (#229) -7.7 (#283)
Bradley-Terry 0.11 (#155) -1.16 (#272)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.03 (#159) -1.35 (#259)
RPI 0.524 (#126) 0.459 (#249)
Shooting & Four Factors MRMK SHU
FG% 41.0% 43.1%
3PT% 31.7% 36.5%
REB / G 28.2 34.2
OREB / G 8.2 10.4
AST / TO 1.16 1.20
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 52.4%
TOV% 15.8% 18.1%
ORB% 24.8% 29.5%
FT Rate 30.1% 23.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 54.9%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 15.9%
DRB% 57.8% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 28.2% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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