Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -250 SHU +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +17 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -6.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -4.5 (+12.5) | 137.6 (-4.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -5.3 (+11.7) | 144.9 (-11.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -4.5 (+12.5) | 138.0 (-5.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -5.0 (+12.0) | 139.0 (-6.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MRMK 70 – 48 SHU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | MRMK 80 – 72 SHU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 62 SHU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SHU 60 – 59 MRMK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 65 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#229) | -7.7 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#155) | -1.16 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#159) | -1.35 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#126) | 0.459 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 28.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 57.8% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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