Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU -400 LIU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +19 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -15.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -13.4 (+5.6) | 145.2 (-8.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -9.7 (+9.3) | 143.9 (-6.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -12.2 (+6.8) | 143.3 (-6.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -11.8 (+7.2) | 145.9 (-8.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIU 80 – 59 CCSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIU 84 – 78 CCSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CCSU 63 – 50 LIU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LIU 54 – 52 CCSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CCSU 78 – 64 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 1-15 |
| Home | 6-7 | 2-10 |
| Away | 4-14 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#324) | -20.8 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#351) | -4.08 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.26 (#350) | -5.78 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.372 (#356) | 0.386 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 12.5% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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