Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -300 LEH +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +8 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -11.7 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -8.4 (-16.4) | 140.3 (-4.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -6.4 (-14.4) | 139.5 (-3.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -8.5 (-16.5) | 141.0 (-5.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -8.4 (-16.4) | 140.1 (-4.1) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LEH 89 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BUCK 72 – 65 LEH |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BUCK 67 – 50 LEH |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LEH 66 – 64 BUCK |
| Feb 13, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#250) | -11.5 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#299) | -1.67 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#290) | -2.30 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#311) | 0.428 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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