Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · January 6, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money CBU -275 / UTU +210
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +14 130 Won
Massey CBU -1.3 (+12.7) — —
Massey Totals — 135.1 (-5.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 50% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 57% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UTU -0.1 (+14.1) 136.8 (-6.8) 42% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -1.4 (+12.6) 133.9 (-3.9) 52% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -0.1 (+13.9) 137.9 (-7.9) 51% ✓
Baseline ML UTU -0.1 (+14.1) 139.5 (-9.5) 45% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 14, 2026 CBU 86 – 72 UTU
Feb 15, 2026 UTU 70 – 65 CBU
Jan 22, 2026 CBU 73 – 64 UTU
Jan 9, 2026 CBU 84 – 72 UTU
Mar 2, 2025 CBU 61 – 57 UTU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU UTU
Overall 17-16 14-19
Conference 8-10 5-13
Home 13-5 9-5
Away 4-8 3-13
Neutral 1-3 2-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.8 73.9
Avg Pts Against 65.9 75.0
Massey -0.7 (#188) 2.3 (#134)
Bradley-Terry -0.36 (#210) 0.42 (#138)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.26 (#196) 0.35 (#147)
RPI 0.459 (#248) 0.531 (#118)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU UTU
FG% 40.5% 43.6%
3PT% 31.6% 35.6%
REB / G 37.9 35.2
OREB / G 11.3 10.8
AST / TO 1.02 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 50.7%
TOV% 18.7% 20.0%
ORB% 30.2% 31.3%
FT Rate 19.8% 30.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.0% 54.4%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 19.6%
DRB% 76.4% 77.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.0% 23.5%

Game Analysis

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