Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
California Baptist Lancers
86 – 72
FINAL Neutral Conference WAC
Utah Tech Trailblazers
Western Athletic Conference · Orleans Arena (Neutral) · March 14, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -8.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money CBU -375 / UTU +295
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +14 158 Won
Massey CBU -4.9 (+9.1) — —
Massey Totals — 142.2 (+15.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 71% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 74% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -4.9 (+9.1) 140.4 (+17.6) 72% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -5.8 (+8.2) 138.5 (+19.5) 74% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -5.2 (+8.8) 138.5 (+19.5) 70% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -4.9 (+9.1) 138.9 (+19.1) 71% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 UTU 70 – 65 CBU
Jan 22, 2026 CBU 73 – 64 UTU
Jan 9, 2026 CBU 84 – 72 UTU
Mar 2, 2025 CBU 61 – 57 UTU
Feb 16, 2025 CBU 86 – 83 UTU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU UTU
Overall 25-9 19-15
Conference 13-5 11-7
Home 15-0 11-3
Away 7-8 6-10
Neutral 3-1 2-2
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.6 74.7
Avg Pts Against 67.6 77.0
Massey 2.9 (#121) -2.0 (#201)
Bradley-Terry 1.27 (#76) 0.39 (#127)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.44 (#88) 0.38 (#132)
RPI 0.544 (#81) 0.522 (#121)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU UTU
FG% 43.1% 46.5%
3PT% 33.1% 35.0%
REB / G 40.2 32.9
OREB / G 14.0 9.5
AST / TO 0.84 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 53.2%
TOV% 18.2% 17.7%
ORB% 38.1% 28.3%
FT Rate 26.4% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.1% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 16.8%
DRB% 72.6% 65.6%
Opp FT Rate 26.9% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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