Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UTU +136 CBU -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -1.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -0.2 (+5.2) | 143.0 (-8.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -1.9 (+6.9) | 141.3 (-6.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -0.7 (+4.3) | 141.0 (-6.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -0.2 (+5.2) | 141.5 (-6.5) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | CBU 86 – 72 UTU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CBU 73 – 64 UTU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CBU 84 – 72 UTU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CBU 61 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CBU 86 – 83 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 15-0 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#193) | 2.3 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#129) | 1.32 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#132) | 1.50 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#124) | 0.549 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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