But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Western Athletic Conference · Burns Arena · March 2, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money UTU -115 / CBU -105
Model Predictions
Spread Total UTU win
Actual CBU +4 118 Lost
Massey CBU -4.8 (+0.8) — —
Massey Totals — 147.1 (-29.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 24% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 22% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -4.3 (+0.3) 146.8 (-28.8) 35% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -4.7 (+0.7) 144.0 (-26.0) 31% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -4.1 (+0.1) 145.3 (-27.3) 30% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -4.8 (+0.8) 146.8 (-28.8) 36% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 14, 2026 CBU 86 – 72 UTU
Feb 15, 2026 UTU 70 – 65 CBU
Jan 22, 2026 CBU 73 – 64 UTU
Jan 9, 2026 CBU 84 – 72 UTU
Feb 16, 2025 CBU 86 – 83 UTU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UTU CBU
Overall 7-26 17-15
Conference 2-14 9-7
Home 5-8 11-5
Away 0-16 4-8
Neutral 2-2 2-2
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.2 71.2
Avg Pts Against 76.9 70.0
Massey -8.5 (#302) -0.4 (#168)
Bradley-Terry -2.07 (#335) -0.32 (#196)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.20 (#321) -0.26 (#189)
RPI 0.402 (#343) 0.490 (#199)
Shooting & Four Factors UTU CBU
FG% 42.7% 43.4%
3PT% 33.6% 31.2%
REB / G 31.2 35.9
OREB / G 9.4 11.9
AST / TO 0.98 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 48.8%
TOV% 18.3% 17.5%
ORB% 26.7% 33.0%
FT Rate 23.5% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.7% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 18.0%
DRB% 66.2% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 23.7%

Game Analysis

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