Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD +260 HAW -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +13 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -4.4 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -5.7 (-7.3) | 130.0 (-19.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -5.7 (-7.3) | 129.1 (-18.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -5.5 (-7.5) | 130.3 (-19.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -5.4 (-7.6) | 130.9 (-19.9) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | HAW 72 – 67 UCSD |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCSD 83 – 73 HAW |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSD 83 – 44 HAW |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCSD 74 – 63 HAW |
| Feb 9, 2024 | HAW 94 – 86 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 4-10 | 13-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 62.0 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#270) | 3.0 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#225) | 0.58 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#253) | 1.09 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#208) | 0.509 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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