Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UTA +230 UVU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +8 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -7.1 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -7.2 (-0.8) | 135.7 (+0.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -6.7 (-1.3) | 136.9 (-0.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -8.1 (+0.1) | 134.7 (+1.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -7.7 (-0.3) | 136.4 (-0.4) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UVU 67 – 65 UTA |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UVU 66 – 54 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVU 81 – 60 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UVU 86 – 74 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UVU 94 – 73 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#261) | 6.3 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#296) | 1.60 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#297) | 2.65 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#261) | 0.575 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.