Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | CARK +150 EKU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +2 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -2.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -2.8 (+0.8) | 154.4 (-2.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -2.5 (+0.5) | 154.8 (-2.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -3.4 (+1.4) | 153.3 (-1.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -3.2 (+1.2) | 153.8 (-1.8) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CARK 90 – 81 EKU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EKU 79 – 75 CARK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EKU 89 – 83 CARK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | EKU 95 – 82 CARK |
| Jan 12, 2024 | EKU 86 – 63 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#339) | -3.8 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#289) | -0.10 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#293) | -0.87 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#273) | 0.505 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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