Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | TOW -300 DREX +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +6 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -4.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -2.8 (+3.2) | 129.5 (-7.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -4.2 (+1.8) | 127.9 (-5.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -2.3 (+3.7) | 131.4 (-9.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -2.4 (+3.6) | 132.2 (-10.2) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | DREX 68 – 62 TOW |
| Jan 19, 2026 | TOW 59 – 58 DREX |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TOW 82 – 76 DREX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TOW 55 – 54 DREX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TOW 93 – 82 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 63.0 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#176) | -0.4 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#142) | -0.45 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#148) | -0.57 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#151) | 0.453 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.