Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | TOW -375 DREX +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +1 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -6.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -2.7 (-1.7) | 127.8 (-10.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -3.3 (-2.3) | 127.3 (-10.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -3.2 (-2.2) | 121.5 (-4.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -3.7 (-2.7) | 123.6 (-6.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | DREX 68 – 62 TOW |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TOW 82 – 76 DREX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TOW 55 – 54 DREX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TOW 93 – 82 DREX |
| Jan 26, 2024 | TOW 70 – 67 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#179) | -3.3 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#187) | -0.80 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#185) | -0.93 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#142) | 0.459 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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