Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO +140 MTST -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTST +21 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | MTST -1.6 (-19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTST -2.4 (-18.6) | 144.5 (-11.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -2.8 (-18.2) | 144.1 (-11.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -2.4 (-18.6) | 146.1 (-13.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -2.5 (-18.5) | 146.4 (-13.4) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | MTST 73 – 68 UNCO |
| Jan 2, 2026 | MTST 89 – 75 UNCO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | UNCO 72 – 45 MTST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UNCO 73 – 66 MTST |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UNCO 83 – 82 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-7 | 12-1 |
| Away | 3-12 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#252) | 1.7 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#229) | -0.02 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#211) | 0.13 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#213) | 0.504 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.