Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC -163 EIU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +21 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -4.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -1.1 (+19.9) | 139.6 (-20.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -2.3 (+18.7) | 137.4 (-18.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -0.8 (+20.2) | 139.3 (-20.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -0.7 (+20.3) | 139.1 (-20.1) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | EIU 60 – 54 TNTC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | EIU 71 – 61 TNTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNTC 59 – 54 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TNTC 69 – 64 EIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TNTC 75 – 67 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#320) | -8.7 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#352) | -1.63 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.38 (#352) | -2.07 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#355) | 0.401 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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