Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -1200 JXST +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +34 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -18.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -17.5 (+16.5) | 133.3 (-17.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -14.2 (+19.8) | 132.3 (-16.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -16.4 (+17.6) | 136.1 (-20.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -18.0 (+16.0) | 136.5 (-20.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIB 81 – 78 JXST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIB 78 – 69 JXST |
| Mar 16, 2025 | LIB 79 – 67 JXST |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIB 59 – 55 JXST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JXST 72 – 61 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 19-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#67) | -6.2 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#76) | -1.20 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#79) | -1.54 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#74) | 0.432 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.