Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NOLA -275 LAM +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +26 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -4.1 (+21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -2.8 (+23.2) | 150.0 (-14.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -3.7 (+22.3) | 145.4 (-9.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -2.5 (+23.5) | 150.1 (-14.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -3.5 (+22.5) | 151.6 (-15.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | NOLA 77 – 71 LAM |
| Jan 20, 2026 | NOLA 89 – 76 LAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NOLA 68 – 62 LAM |
| Mar 11, 2024 | LAM 71 – 57 NOLA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAM 94 – 72 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -16.0 (#355) | -15.8 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.46 (#357) | -2.95 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.53 (#357) | -4.40 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#347) | 0.357 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 28.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 25.2% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.9% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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