Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -588 NOLA +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +14 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -10.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -9.5 (+4.5) | 150.5 (-22.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -7.5 (+6.5) | 150.3 (-22.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -9.1 (+4.9) | 148.1 (-20.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -9.2 (+4.8) | 148.2 (-20.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | NOLA 77 – 71 LAM |
| Jan 20, 2026 | NOLA 89 – 76 LAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NOLA 68 – 62 LAM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAM 94 – 72 NOLA |
| Jan 30, 2024 | LAM 98 – 73 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#211) | -13.4 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#254) | -2.39 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#243) | -3.05 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#233) | 0.404 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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