Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LAM -205 NOLA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -3.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -2.9 (-8.9) | 144.9 (+3.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -3.5 (-9.5) | 142.9 (+5.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -1.8 (-7.8) | 145.1 (+2.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -1.5 (-7.5) | 146.8 (+1.2) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | NOLA 89 – 76 LAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NOLA 68 – 62 LAM |
| Mar 11, 2024 | LAM 71 – 57 NOLA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAM 94 – 72 NOLA |
| Jan 30, 2024 | LAM 98 – 73 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 12-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 9-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#203) | -2.5 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#267) | -0.47 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#244) | -0.48 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#282) | 0.499 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 34.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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