All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
Southland Conference · Montagne Center · February 22, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread LAM -4.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money LAM -205 / UNO +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAM win
Actual UNO +6 148 Lost
Massey LAM -3.4 (-9.4)
Massey Totals 151.1 (-3.1)
Bradley-Terry 48%
Weighted B-T 50%
Efficiency Plus ML LAM -3.5 (-9.5) 142.9 (+5.1) 72%
Baseline Tuned ML LAM -1.8 (-7.8) 145.1 (+2.9) 59%
Baseline ML LAM -1.5 (-7.5) 146.8 (+1.2) 57%
Baseline Plus ML LAM -2.9 (-8.9) 144.9 (+3.1) 60%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 20, 2026 UNO 8976 LAM
Jan 14, 2025 UNO 6862 LAM
Mar 11, 2024 LAM 7157 UNO
Feb 17, 2024 LAM 9472 UNO
Jan 30, 2024 LAM 9873 UNO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAM UNO
Overall 12-19 15-18
Conference 7-15 12-10
Home 7-8 5-6
Away 5-10 9-11
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L8 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 74.5
Avg Pts Against 70.5 77.7
Massey -2.1 (#203) -2.5 (#206)
Bradley-Terry -1.04 (#267) -0.47 (#219)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.05 (#244) -0.48 (#206)
RPI 0.446 (#282) 0.499 (#186)
Shooting & Four Factors LAM UNO
FG% 42.9% 44.5%
3PT% 35.0% 33.1%
REB / G 36.8 37.1
OREB / G 12.8 11.7
AST / TO 1.21 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 50.1%
TOV% 17.6% 20.5%
ORB% 35.6% 34.8%
FT Rate 20.7% 34.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 49.4%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 14.8%
DRB% 71.2% 65.4%
Opp FT Rate 30.6% 29.5%

Game Analysis

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