Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -1600 NOLA +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +6 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -16.1 (-22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -13.1 (-19.1) | 142.2 (-12.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -12.0 (-18.0) | 140.9 (-10.9) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -11.2 (-17.2) | 140.7 (-10.7) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -12.5 (-18.5) | 141.6 (-11.6) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | NOLA 77 – 71 LAM |
| Jan 20, 2026 | NOLA 89 – 76 LAM |
| Mar 11, 2024 | LAM 71 – 57 NOLA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAM 94 – 72 NOLA |
| Jan 30, 2024 | LAM 98 – 73 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 10-4 | 0-11 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 82.5 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#184) | -13.5 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#215) | -1.96 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#206) | -2.59 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#208) | 0.437 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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