Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | PFW -1600 GB +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +10 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | PFW -23.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -17.9 (-7.9) | 138.4 (+9.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -17.3 (-7.3) | 141.0 (+7.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -17.0 (-7.0) | 137.0 (+11.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -18.6 (-8.6) | 137.7 (+10.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | GB 64 – 56 PFW |
| Feb 13, 2026 | GB 76 – 59 PFW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GB 72 – 54 PFW |
| Feb 9, 2025 | PFW 89 – 74 GB |
| Dec 29, 2024 | PFW 83 – 67 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 2-18 |
| Home | 9-6 | 2-10 |
| Away | 7-8 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#115) | -16.4 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#113) | -2.35 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#108) | -2.95 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#133) | 0.370 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 25.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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