Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | PFW -2500 GB +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +15 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | PFW -17.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -14.8 (+0.2) | 154.5 (+8.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -14.7 (+0.3) | 154.5 (+8.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -14.2 (+0.8) | 153.2 (+9.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -15.2 (-0.2) | 154.3 (+8.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | GB 64 – 56 PFW |
| Feb 13, 2026 | GB 76 – 59 PFW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GB 72 – 54 PFW |
| Dec 29, 2024 | PFW 83 – 67 GB |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PFW 85 – 59 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-2 | 3-11 |
| Away | 6-10 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#124) | -11.7 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#137) | -2.74 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#125) | -3.00 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#121) | 0.392 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 4.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 15.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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