Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | GB -198 PFW +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +8 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | GB -5.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -5.8 (+2.2) | 145.1 (-25.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -3.6 (+4.4) | 145.9 (-25.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -5.2 (+2.8) | 144.1 (-24.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -5.0 (+3.0) | 146.1 (-26.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | GB 76 – 59 PFW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GB 72 – 54 PFW |
| Feb 9, 2025 | PFW 89 – 74 GB |
| Dec 29, 2024 | PFW 83 – 67 GB |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PFW 85 – 59 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#213) | -5.5 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#170) | -0.25 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#186) | -0.72 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#128) | 0.489 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 28.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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