Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | GB +340 PFW -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +16 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -6.6 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -9.9 (-6.1) | 154.0 (-4.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -8.1 (-7.9) | 154.0 (-4.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -7.7 (-8.3) | 156.3 (-6.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -7.5 (-8.5) | 156.2 (-6.2) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | GB 64 – 56 PFW |
| Feb 13, 2026 | GB 76 – 59 PFW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GB 72 – 54 PFW |
| Feb 9, 2025 | PFW 89 – 74 GB |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PFW 85 – 59 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 12-8 |
| Home | 3-11 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-17 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#315) | 1.7 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#338) | 0.53 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#332) | 0.73 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#335) | 0.534 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 28.3 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 5.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 17.0% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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