Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -200 MILW +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -7.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -4.7 (-8.7) | 136.1 (-4.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -6.4 (-10.4) | 137.0 (-5.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -4.3 (-8.3) | 136.9 (-4.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -4.0 (-8.0) | 137.1 (-5.1) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CLE 90 – 88 MILW |
| Dec 21, 2025 | MILW 81 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLE 77 – 60 MILW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | MILW 79 – 67 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MILW 71 – 68 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#155) | -2.5 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#182) | -0.10 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#175) | -0.40 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#232) | 0.485 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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