Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MONM +130 STBK -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +11 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | STBK -3.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -3.5 (-7.5) | 132.2 (-9.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -2.9 (-8.1) | 130.5 (-7.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -3.8 (-7.2) | 133.8 (-10.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -3.6 (-7.4) | 134.0 (-11.0) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONM 82 – 69 STBK |
| Feb 6, 2026 | MONM 76 – 75 STBK |
| Feb 13, 2025 | MONM 79 – 69 STBK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONM 78 – 56 STBK |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MONM 84 – 61 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 3-10 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-15 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.7 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -16.9 (#359) | -9.5 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#334) | -1.33 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#333) | -1.89 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#307) | 0.426 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.7% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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