Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–16 on winners spread MAE 7.5 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Miami @ Georgia Tech -3.6 147.0 33% 70–76 ✗
Duke @ NC State +0.8 143.7 53% 60–84 ✓
Iowa State @ Oklahoma +1.8 130.3 54% 63–60 ✗
Tulsa @ Tulane +10.4 150.9 86% 77–93 ✓
Temple @ South Florida +2.2 138.5 63% 68–64 ✗
UCF @ East Carolina -3.6 129.9 33% 64–61 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -2.1 137.5 42% 69–67 ✓
Penn State @ Michigan +2.9 146.5 62% 69–79 ✓
Texas A&M @ Florida +7.9 143.3 79% 66–63 ✗
George Washington @ Richmond +6.4 143.7 77% 63–73 ✓
VCU @ Duquesne +2.7 138.4 64% 70–79 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Dayton +13.7 133.9 87% 56–76 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +4.8 139.1 72% 57–80 ✓
George Mason @ St. Bonaventure +0.0 132.7 50% 69–73 ✓
Fordham @ Rhode Island -0.5 138.5 43% 79–82 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +9.8 139.3 84% 65–60 ✗
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +4.9 138.5 70% 72–82 ✓
UNC Asheville @ High Point +2.4 153.0 63% 76–72 ✗
Longwood @ Charleston Southern -6.9 147.5 28% 79–74 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Campbell -1.7 130.4 43% 58–63 ✗
Wofford @ Mercer +2.7 142.8 64% 53–52 ✗
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +4.0 138.9 67% 71–60 ✗
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro +1.7 136.5 59% 61–73 ✓
The Citadel @ Furman +9.2 147.8 84% 72–97 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Elon -10.7 135.6 15% 81–66 ✓
Saint Louis @ Massachusetts +2.0 144.6 61% 81–90 ✓
New Mexico State @ Stephen F. Austin +1.9 149.6 59% 60–69 ✓
VMI @ Samford +10.7 144.0 86% 78–87 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama A&M +7.9 133.0 79% 68–75 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State -4.2 143.6 34% 76–67 ✓
Evansville @ Missouri State +13.0 132.7 86% 62–85 ✓
Drake @ Southern Illinois +4.5 127.8 70% 49–53 ✓
Belmont @ UIC -1.5 143.5 46% 77–71 ✓
Bradley @ Murray State -5.5 130.9 30% 58–67 ✗
UConn @ Providence -3.5 148.9 32% 61–73 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State +2.4 137.9 59% 66–80 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +11.0 143.5 86% 61–91 ✓
Lindenwood @ Little Rock +2.4 149.1 62% 67–62 ✗
Missouri @ Arkansas +8.0 156.8 77% 68–74 ✓
Grambling @ Texas Southern -2.2 135.2 44% 85–72 ✓
TCU @ Baylor +5.1 141.6 67% 88–87 ✗
Wake Forest @ North Carolina +9.6 156.1 82% 79–88 ✓
Clemson @ Virginia Tech +6.9 143.4 75% 68–65 ✗
DePaul @ Butler +11.5 140.0 87% 70–78 ✓
Illinois @ Northwestern +2.4 130.5 63% 60–73 ✓
Southern @ Prairie View A&M +2.4 144.0 60% 66–62 ✗
Colorado State @ Nevada +6.9 143.0 78% 69–80 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ St. Francis Brooklyn -0.0 141.0 50% 76–57 ✓
Maine @ UMass Lowell +10.6 145.9 87% 70–72 ✓
Maryland @ Rutgers +9.1 127.9 79% 50–64 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ App State +3.8 137.6 65% 62–63 ✓
Queens University @ Bellarmine -1.7 139.2 42% 75–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.